Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#99
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#124
Pace62.8#319
Improvement+1.9#105

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#64
First Shot+5.3#40
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#248
Layup/Dunks+3.9#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.7#5
Freethrows-2.3#325
Improvement+2.9#49

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#148
First Shot+0.2#155
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#123
Layups/Dunks-5.4#340
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.1#1
Freethrows+2.0#48
Improvement-1.0#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 38 - 28 - 6
Quad 412 - 320 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 62   @ Texas L 45-69 28%     0 - 1 -12.7 -18.0 +4.6
  Nov 08, 2019 345   Incarnate Word W 83-61 97%     1 - 1 +3.6 +9.5 -3.8
  Nov 16, 2019 59   @ Northern Iowa L 72-77 OT 27%     1 - 2 +6.4 -4.9 +11.8
  Nov 18, 2019 14   @ West Virginia L 61-69 13%     1 - 3 +9.4 +5.1 +3.7
  Nov 26, 2019 170   Boston University W 78-55 69%     2 - 3 +23.1 +8.2 +15.9
  Nov 27, 2019 216   Gardner-Webb L 62-67 78%     2 - 4 -7.9 -7.0 -1.4
  Dec 14, 2019 227   @ Wyoming W 74-53 72%     3 - 4 +20.2 +18.4 +5.9
  Dec 17, 2019 311   Denver W 86-64 93%     4 - 4 +10.5 +2.1 +6.8
  Dec 20, 2019 178   South Dakota W 87-68 71%     5 - 4 +18.4 +9.2 +9.1
  Dec 28, 2019 185   @ Portland St. L 65-69 62%     5 - 5 0 - 1 -1.9 -9.2 +7.2
  Jan 02, 2020 239   Montana St. W 68-59 87%     6 - 5 1 - 1 +1.7 +1.0 +1.7
  Jan 04, 2020 153   Montana W 74-66 76%     7 - 5 2 - 1 +5.9 +3.7 +2.5
  Jan 09, 2020 275   @ Weber St. W 65-64 79%     8 - 5 3 - 1 -2.3 -8.6 +6.3
  Jan 16, 2020 199   Sacramento St. W 71-52 83%     9 - 5 4 - 1 +14.0 +8.3 +8.3
  Jan 18, 2020 229   Northern Arizona L 58-64 87%     9 - 6 4 - 2 -12.9 -13.4 -0.2
  Jan 25, 2020 324   @ Idaho W 74-53 88%     10 - 6 5 - 2 +13.6 +8.2 +8.0
  Jan 27, 2020 133   @ Eastern Washington L 84-89 OT 49%     10 - 7 5 - 3 +0.4 +2.9 -1.9
  Jan 30, 2020 307   Idaho St. W 83-67 93%     11 - 7 6 - 3 +4.9 +10.3 -3.8
  Feb 01, 2020 275   Weber St. W 70-52 91%     12 - 7 7 - 3 +8.6 -1.0 +11.5
  Feb 06, 2020 177   @ Southern Utah W 68-60 60%     13 - 7 8 - 3 +10.5 +2.1 +8.8
  Feb 10, 2020 185   Portland St. L 71-83 81%     13 - 8 8 - 4 -16.0 -6.3 -10.0
  Feb 13, 2020 229   @ Northern Arizona W 84-54 72%     14 - 8 9 - 4 +29.2 +22.3 +11.6
  Feb 15, 2020 199   @ Sacramento St. W 68-65 65%     15 - 8 10 - 4 +4.1 +8.8 -4.2
  Feb 20, 2020 177   Southern Utah W 68-66 79%     16 - 8 11 - 4 -1.5 +6.5 -7.7
  Feb 22, 2020 307   @ Idaho St. W 85-72 83%     17 - 8 12 - 4 +7.9 +11.5 -2.9
  Feb 27, 2020 324   Idaho W 93-49 95%     18 - 8 13 - 4 +30.5 +18.7 +13.7
  Feb 29, 2020 133   Eastern Washington L 64-68 71%     18 - 9 13 - 5 -4.7 -4.8 -0.2
  Mar 05, 2020 153   @ Montana W 71-64 55%     19 - 9 14 - 5 +10.9 +2.9 +8.3
  Mar 07, 2020 239   @ Montana St. W 75-61 73%     20 - 9 15 - 5 +12.8 +11.2 +3.0
Projected Record 20 - 9 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%